Built for analysts who hate guesswork.

The Problem

Most football prediction services either give you cherry-picked “tips” based on bookmaker margins, or hide their methodology behind opaque scores. Neither is honest.

Bookmaker edges shift constantly. Tipster track records are unverifiable. “Sure thing” promises ignore basic probability theory.

Our Approach

We treat football fixtures the way a quantitative analyst treats any stochastic process: build a calibrated probability distribution over outcomes, surface every meaningful market, flag the inputs that look weak, and let the user act on the picture they see.

• Four engines vote (Dixon-Coles, Elo, Monte Carlo, gradient boosting). No single model carries the whole prediction.
• Calibration layermaps raw probabilities to the actual hit rates we've observed (~85% ECE reduction across markets).
• Sanity filter warns when a pick contradicts fundamentals (Elo gap, form, H2H).
• Stability tier tells you when the inputs are ROCK_SOLID vs VOLATILE.
• Composite trust score combines confidence, sanity and stability into a single 0–1 number per match.

What We Don't Do

• We don't sell betslips.
• We don't hide leagues from you because the “edge” looks small.
• We don't partner with predatory bookmakers.
• We don't promise profit. Probability doesn't work that way.
• We don't track you across the web or sell your data.

The Tech

Try It Free

The free tier covers the four biggest European leagues — EPL, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga — with full intelligence reports and daily briefings. No card required.